Backtest results

Metrics

1Y · since Oct 2025
AAA BDF
Total Return+34.86%
CAGR+35.18%
Sharpe1.82
Calmar3.67
Max DD-9.60%
Volatility17.44%
Win Rate55.4%

Last year of a hypothetical backtest, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026. Create an account to see the full history.

About this strategy

Dynamic and risk-aware, the strategy mainly holds leveraged tech (TECL) and healthcare (CURE) while it monitors the relative performance of the S&P 500, commodities, and Treasury indices. When the S&P 500 lags behind commodities or Treasury returns, it shifts into Treasury-leveraged (TMF) or gold (UGL) and dollar (USDU) positions, and it adds energy (ERX) or utilities (UTSL) when the market shows a pullback, protecting itself by balancing risk with inverse-volatility sizing.

Current allocation

What the rules select as of Oct 30, 2026.

  • TMF

    Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF

    20.8%
  • TYD

    Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF

    20.8%
  • CURE

    Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF

    14.7%
  • SCHD

    Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF

    11.1%
  • USDU

    WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund

    11%
  • TECL

    Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF

    8.6%
  • UTSL

    Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3X ETF

    4.4%
  • TMV

    Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF

    4.2%
  • ERX

    Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF

    1.5%
  • BIL

    State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF

    1.4%
  • SHY

    iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF

    1.4%

Frequently asked questions

What is AAA BDF?

Dynamic and risk-aware, the strategy mainly holds leveraged tech (TECL) and healthcare (CURE) while it monitors the relative performance of the S&P 500, commodities, and Treasury indices. When the S&P 500 lags behind commodities or Treasury returns, it shifts into Treasury-leveraged (TMF) or gold (UGL) and dollar (USDU) positions, and it adds energy (ERX) or utilities (UTSL) when the market shows a pullback, protecting itself by balancing risk with inverse-volatility sizing.

What is AAA BDF holding today?

As of Oct 30, 2026, AAA BDF allocates to TMF 20.8%, TYD 20.8%, CURE 14.7%, SCHD 11.1%, USDU 11%, TECL 8.6%, UTSL 4.4%, TMV 4.2%, ERX 1.5%, BIL 1.4%, SHY 1.4%.

How has AAA BDF performed over the past year?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, AAA BDF returned +34.3% in a hypothetical backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the maximum drawdown of AAA BDF?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, the largest peak-to-trough decline of AAA BDF in a hypothetical backtest was -9.6%.

How do I use AAA BDF?

Open AAA BDF in Quantly to rerun the backtest, adjust the rules, and paper trade it. You can also connect a supported brokerage to trade your version live.

Backtest results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns. Strategies are shared by Quantly users for research only and are not investment advice.

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