Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR

Backtest results

Metrics

1Y · since Oct 2025
Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR
Total Return+32.51%
CAGR+32.81%
Sharpe1.31
Calmar2.54
Max DD-12.92%
Volatility23.90%
Win Rate54.2%

Last year of a hypothetical backtest, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026. Create an account to see the full history.

About this strategy

Dynamic risk-on/off strategy that shifts between leveraged equity funds and defensive bond and gold when the S&P 500 falls sharply or when leveraged funds rally. It moves to short-term bonds and municipal bonds after a 5-day drop in SPY, or to TQQQ when QQQ drops, and reverts to a mix of IEI, GLD, TIP and BSV when drawdowns stay below 10%.

Current allocation

What the rules select as of Oct 30, 2026.

  • UPRO

    ProShares UltraPro S&P 500

    55%
  • TMF

    Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF

    45%

Frequently asked questions

What is Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR?

Dynamic risk-on/off strategy that shifts between leveraged equity funds and defensive bond and gold when the S&P 500 falls sharply or when leveraged funds rally. It moves to short-term bonds and municipal bonds after a 5-day drop in SPY, or to TQQQ when QQQ drops, and reverts to a mix of IEI, GLD, TIP and BSV when drawdowns stay below 10%.

What is Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR holding today?

As of Oct 30, 2026, Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR allocates to UPRO 55%, TMF 45%.

How has Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR performed over the past year?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR returned +32.5% in a hypothetical backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the maximum drawdown of Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, the largest peak-to-trough decline of Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR in a hypothetical backtest was -12.9%.

How do I use Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR?

Open Bear: #BUYDIPS, Bull: #HFEAR in Quantly to rerun the backtest, adjust the rules, and paper trade it. You can also connect a supported brokerage to trade your version live.

Backtest results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns. Strategies are shared by Quantly users for research only and are not investment advice.

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