✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22

Backtest results

Metrics

1Y · since Oct 2025
✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22
Total Return+3.52%
CAGR+3.55%
Sharpe2.07
Calmar3.10
Max DD-1.15%
Volatility1.70%
Win Rate60.6%

Last year of a hypothetical backtest, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026. Create an account to see the full history.

About this strategy

A cautious strategy keeps equal weight in short-term Treasury (SHY), the dollar (UUP) and muni bonds (SUB) unless the VIX (UVXY) is overbought, in which case it shifts to a risk-parity mix of the same three. When the dollar trend is strong and the S&P 500 is above its 40-period RSI, it switches to UVXY; otherwise it moves to leveraged Nasdaq (TQQQ).

Current allocation

What the rules select as of Oct 30, 2026.

  • SHY

    iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF

    33.3%
  • SUB

    iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF

    33.3%
  • UUP

    Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

    33.3%

Frequently asked questions

What is ✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22 ?

A cautious strategy keeps equal weight in short-term Treasury (SHY), the dollar (UUP) and muni bonds (SUB) unless the VIX (UVXY) is overbought, in which case it shifts to a risk-parity mix of the same three. When the dollar trend is strong and the S&P 500 is above its 40-period RSI, it switches to UVXY; otherwise it moves to leveraged Nasdaq (TQQQ).

What is ✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22 holding today?

As of Oct 30, 2026, ✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22 allocates to SHY 33.3%, SUB 33.3%, UUP 33.3%.

How has ✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22 performed over the past year?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, ✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22 returned +3.7% in a hypothetical backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the maximum drawdown of ✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22 ?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, the largest peak-to-trough decline of ✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22 in a hypothetical backtest was -1.1%.

How do I use ✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22 ?

Open ✨Black Swan 🦢 V4 5/28/22 in Quantly to rerun the backtest, adjust the rules, and paper trade it. You can also connect a supported brokerage to trade your version live.

Backtest results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns. Strategies are shared by Quantly users for research only and are not investment advice.

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