Backtest results

Metrics

1Y · since Oct 2025
Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b
Total Return-0.56%
CAGR-0.56%
Sharpe-0.00
Calmar-0.07
Max DD-7.59%
Volatility10.52%
Win Rate52.2%

Last year of a hypothetical backtest, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026. Create an account to see the full history.

About this strategy

A dynamic risk-on strategy that favors leveraged tech and broad-market ETFs - such as leveraged Nasdaq (TQQQ), leveraged S&P 500 (UPRO), and semiconductor (SOXL) - when the S&P 500 stays within a modest drawdown. When the market swings to a larger decline, it pivots to defensive assets - gold (GLD), short-term Treasury (SHY), the dollar (UUP), and a mix of commodity and bond funds - while also adding a VIX hedge (UVXY) if volatility remains low, protecting the portfolio from sharp downturns.

Current allocation

What the rules select as of Oct 30, 2026.

  • TMF

    Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF

    17.4%
  • XLP

    State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF

    13.5%
  • GLD

    SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares

    12.2%
  • SCHD

    Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF

    9.4%
  • TYD

    Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF

    8.8%
  • PDBC

    Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF

    6%
  • UUP

    Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

    4.4%
  • BTAL

    AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund

    4.2%
  • UPRO

    ProShares UltraPro S&P 500

    3%
  • TQQQ

    ProShares UltraPro QQQ

    2.9%
  • SHY

    iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF

    2.8%
  • UGL

    ProShares Ultra Gold

    2.4%
  • COM

    Direxion Auspice Broad Commodity Strategy ETF

    2%
  • FAAR

    First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund VII First Trust Alternative Absolute Return Strategy ETF

    2%
  • CCOR

    Core Alternative Capital

    1.8%
  • DBMF

    iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF

    1.2%
  • FTLS

    First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF

    1%
  • SHV

    iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF

    0.5%
  • VIXM

    ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF

    0.5%
  • EWA

    iShares MSCI Australia ETF

    0.4%
  • EWG

    iShares MSCI Germany ETF

    0.4%
  • EWI

    iShares MSCI Italy ETF

    0.4%
  • EWJ

    iShares MSCI Japan ETF

    0.4%
  • EWN

    iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF

    0.4%
  • EWP

    iShares MSCI Spain ETF

    0.4%
  • EWU

    iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF

    0.4%
  • IEF

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

    0.4%
  • SPY

    State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

    0.4%
  • GLL

    ProShares UltraShort Gold

    0.1%
  • KOLD

    ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas

    0.1%
  • SH

    ProShares Short S&P500

    0.1%
  • TMV

    Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF

    0.1%
  • UCO

    ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil

    0.1%
  • EUO

    ProShares UltraShort Euro

    0.1%
  • YCS

    ProShares UltraShort Yen

    0.1%
  • UVXY

    ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF

    0.1%

Frequently asked questions

What is Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b?

A dynamic risk-on strategy that favors leveraged tech and broad-market ETFs - such as leveraged Nasdaq (TQQQ), leveraged S&P 500 (UPRO), and semiconductor (SOXL) - when the S&P 500 stays within a modest drawdown. When the market swings to a larger decline, it pivots to defensive assets - gold (GLD), short-term Treasury (SHY), the dollar (UUP), and a mix of commodity and bond funds - while also adding a VIX hedge (UVXY) if volatility remains low, protecting the portfolio from sharp downturns.

What is Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b holding today?

As of Oct 30, 2026, Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b allocates to TMF 17.4%, XLP 13.5%, GLD 12.2%, SCHD 9.4%, TYD 8.8%, PDBC 6%, UUP 4.4%, BTAL 4.2%, UPRO 3%, TQQQ 2.9%, SHY 2.8%, UGL 2.4%, COM 2%, FAAR 2%, CCOR 1.8%, DBMF 1.2%, FTLS 1%, SHV 0.5%, VIXM 0.5%, EWA 0.4%, EWG 0.4%, EWI 0.4%, EWJ 0.4%, EWN 0.4%, EWP 0.4%, EWU 0.4%, IEF 0.4%, SPY 0.4%, GLL 0.1%, KOLD 0.1%, SH 0.1%, TMV 0.1%, UCO 0.1%, EUO 0.1%, YCS 0.1%, UVXY 0.1%.

How has Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b performed over the past year?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b returned -0.4% in a hypothetical backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the maximum drawdown of Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, the largest peak-to-trough decline of Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b in a hypothetical backtest was -7.6%.

How do I use Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b?

Open Copy of The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1b in Quantly to rerun the backtest, adjust the rules, and paper trade it. You can also connect a supported brokerage to trade your version live.

Backtest results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns. Strategies are shared by Quantly users for research only and are not investment advice.

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