Backtest results

Metrics

1Y · since Oct 2025
Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION
Total Return+16.61%
CAGR+16.76%
Sharpe1.19
Calmar2.20
Max DD-7.62%
Volatility13.85%
Win Rate56.6%

Last year of a hypothetical backtest, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026. Create an account to see the full history.

About this strategy

Dynamic and opportunistic, the strategy holds the five best-performing assets from a core list of broad-market, international, bond, commodity and gold funds, switching daily based on 126-day cumulative returns. When a top performer falls below its recent trend, the portfolio pivots to safer bonds, gold or international equity to protect against sharp downturns.

Current allocation

What the rules select as of Oct 30, 2026.

  • DBC

    Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund

    20%
  • EWJ

    iShares MSCI Japan ETF

    20%
  • SPY

    State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

    20%
  • VGK

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    20%
  • VNQ

    Vanguard Real Estate ETF

    20%

Frequently asked questions

What is Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION?

Dynamic and opportunistic, the strategy holds the five best-performing assets from a core list of broad-market, international, bond, commodity and gold funds, switching daily based on 126-day cumulative returns. When a top performer falls below its recent trend, the portfolio pivots to safer bonds, gold or international equity to protect against sharp downturns.

What is Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION holding today?

As of Oct 30, 2026, Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION allocates to DBC 20%, EWJ 20%, SPY 20%, VGK 20%, VNQ 20%.

How has Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION performed over the past year?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION returned +16.9% in a hypothetical backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the maximum drawdown of Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, the largest peak-to-trough decline of Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION in a hypothetical backtest was -7.6%.

How do I use Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION?

Open Exhibit 3 | ADAPTIVE ASSET ALLOCATION in Quantly to rerun the backtest, adjust the rules, and paper trade it. You can also connect a supported brokerage to trade your version live.

Backtest results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns. Strategies are shared by Quantly users for research only and are not investment advice.

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