๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market

Backtest results

Metrics

1Y ยท since Oct 2025
๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market
Total Return+17.46%
CAGR+17.61%
Sharpe0.72
Calmar0.83
Max DD-21.16%
Volatility27.86%
Win Rate49.0%

Last year of a hypothetical backtest, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026. Create an account to see the full history.

About this strategy

Dynamic and risk-aware, the strategy mainly holds leveraged tech (TECL) and health (UNH) when the market is oversold, and shifts to a defensive mix of short S&P (SH), commodities (DBC) and the dollar (UUP) when the S&P is not oversold. It protects itself by adding a volatility hedge (VIXM) when the Nasdaq is overbought and by keeping a small core of broad equity (COST) when neither extreme is present.

Current allocation

What the rules select as of Oct 30, 2026.

  • DBC

    Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund

    33.3%
  • SH

    ProShares Short S&P500

    33.3%
  • UUP

    Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

    33.3%

Frequently asked questions

What is ๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market?

Dynamic and risk-aware, the strategy mainly holds leveraged tech (TECL) and health (UNH) when the market is oversold, and shifts to a defensive mix of short S&P (SH), commodities (DBC) and the dollar (UUP) when the S&P is not oversold. It protects itself by adding a volatility hedge (VIXM) when the Nasdaq is overbought and by keeping a small core of broad equity (COST) when neither extreme is present.

What is ๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market holding today?

As of Oct 30, 2026, ๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market allocates to DBC 33.3%, SH 33.3%, UUP 33.3%.

How has ๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market performed over the past year?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, ๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market returned +16.2% in a hypothetical backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the maximum drawdown of ๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, the largest peak-to-trough decline of ๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market in a hypothetical backtest was -21.2%.

How do I use ๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market?

Open ๐Ÿ•‘ In market > Timing market in Quantly to rerun the backtest, adjust the rules, and paper trade it. You can also connect a supported brokerage to trade your version live.

Backtest results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns. Strategies are shared by Quantly users for research only and are not investment advice.

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