V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update

Backtest results

Metrics

1Y · since Oct 2025
V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update
Total Return+44.91%
CAGR+45.35%
Sharpe1.50
Calmar2.93
Max DD-15.47%
Volatility27.64%
Win Rate54.2%

Last year of a hypothetical backtest, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026. Create an account to see the full history.

About this strategy

Dynamic and defensive, the strategy mainly holds a balanced mix of dollar (UUP), gold (GLD) and consumer staples (XLP) when the market is neither sharply falling nor experiencing large drawdowns. It switches to leveraged equity (UPRO or TQQQ) after a quick 5-day rally or when the S&P 500 drops more than 5% in five days, and it adds long-term treasuries (TMF) or inverse volatility weighting of UPRO and TQQQ when short-term drawdowns stay below 5% while the annual drawdown stays under 10%.

Current allocation

What the rules select as of Oct 30, 2026.

  • TMF

    Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF

    45%
  • UPRO

    ProShares UltraPro S&P 500

    36.2%
  • TQQQ

    ProShares UltraPro QQQ

    18.8%

Frequently asked questions

What is V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update?

Dynamic and defensive, the strategy mainly holds a balanced mix of dollar (UUP), gold (GLD) and consumer staples (XLP) when the market is neither sharply falling nor experiencing large drawdowns. It switches to leveraged equity (UPRO or TQQQ) after a quick 5-day rally or when the S&P 500 drops more than 5% in five days, and it adds long-term treasuries (TMF) or inverse volatility weighting of UPRO and TQQQ when short-term drawdowns stay below 5% while the annual drawdown stays under 10%.

What is V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update holding today?

As of Oct 30, 2026, V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update allocates to TMF 45%, UPRO 36.2%, TQQQ 18.8%.

How has V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update performed over the past year?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update returned +44.4% in a hypothetical backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the maximum drawdown of V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, the largest peak-to-trough decline of V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update in a hypothetical backtest was -15.5%.

How do I use V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update?

Open V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update in Quantly to rerun the backtest, adjust the rules, and paper trade it. You can also connect a supported brokerage to trade your version live.

Backtest results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns. Strategies are shared by Quantly users for research only and are not investment advice.

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