V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER

Backtest results

Metrics

1Y · since Oct 2025
V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER
Total Return+1.79%
CAGR+1.80%
Sharpe0.19
Calmar0.10
Max DD-18.43%
Volatility22.28%
Win Rate55.8%

Last year of a hypothetical backtest, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026. Create an account to see the full history.

About this strategy

Aggressive yet defensive, the strategy keeps the portfolio in the volatility hedge (UVXY) when the market is overbought or VIX is high, and shifts to cash-like BIL or the top four recent-return assets when risk signals rise. It switches based on short-term RSI extremes, the S&P 500's 200-day trend, and the 365-day return of TIP, protecting itself by moving into bonds or the best-performing equities when conditions turn bearish.

Current allocation

What the rules select as of Oct 30, 2026.

  • DBC

    Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund

    25%
  • SOXX

    iShares Semiconductor ETF

    12.5%
  • SPY

    State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

    12.5%
  • BIL

    State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF

    6.3%
  • EEM

    iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF

    6.3%
  • EFA

    iShares MSCI EAFE ETF

    6.3%
  • IEF

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

    6.3%
  • IWM

    iShares Russell 2000 ETF

    6.3%
  • QQQ

    Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

    6.3%
  • TLT

    iShares 20 Year Treasury Bond ETF

    6.3%
  • VNQ

    Vanguard Real Estate ETF

    6.3%

Frequently asked questions

What is V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER?

Aggressive yet defensive, the strategy keeps the portfolio in the volatility hedge (UVXY) when the market is overbought or VIX is high, and shifts to cash-like BIL or the top four recent-return assets when risk signals rise. It switches based on short-term RSI extremes, the S&P 500's 200-day trend, and the 365-day return of TIP, protecting itself by moving into bonds or the best-performing equities when conditions turn bearish.

What is V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER holding today?

As of Oct 30, 2026, V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER allocates to DBC 25%, SOXX 12.5%, SPY 12.5%, BIL 6.3%, EEM 6.3%, EFA 6.3%, IEF 6.3%, IWM 6.3%, QQQ 6.3%, TLT 6.3%, VNQ 6.3%.

How has V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER performed over the past year?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER returned +2.5% in a hypothetical backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the maximum drawdown of V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER?

From Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, the largest peak-to-trough decline of V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER in a hypothetical backtest was -18.4%.

How do I use V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER?

Open V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER in Quantly to rerun the backtest, adjust the rules, and paper trade it. You can also connect a supported brokerage to trade your version live.

Backtest results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns. Strategies are shared by Quantly users for research only and are not investment advice.

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